ドル暴落から、世界不況が始まる [単行本]

   来るべきドル危機にはじめて正面から立ち向かう書。現在のグローバル経済の状況から、ドル危機は避けられない現実となってきた。近年相次いだ金融危機と通貨危機は、米ドルの崩壊をもってその頂点に達し、世界規模の経済停滞をもたらすと予想されている。タイムリーでなおかつ意欲的な内容の本書は、この危機の根本的な原因と、グローバル規模の不均衡に取り組む方法を与えてくれる。深い洞察と実践的なアドバイスが随所にちりばめられた本書は、あらゆるマーケットに対応したガイドである。なぜなら米ドルの崩壊は、グローバル規模の不安定要因となり、資本主義各国に多くの影響を与えるからである。

   リチャード・ダンカン（香港在住）は、15年以上、ソロモン・ブラザーズ、HSBC証券、国際通貨基金、世界銀行などでアジア専門の金融アナリストとして活躍してきた。 --このテキストは、絶版本またはこのタイトルには設定されていない版型に関連付けられています。

An updated look at the imminent dollar crisis Will the series of financial and currency crises in recent years culminate in the collapse of the U.S. dollar and a worldwide economic slump? This updated and revised edition of The Dollar Crisis describes the evolution of the crisis in the international monetary system over the two years since the original edition was published. It offers proactive recommendations that, if implemented, would help mitigate the damage of the coming downturn and put in place the foundations for balanced, sustainable economic growth in the decades ahead. This is a must-read for investors, bankers, brokers, economists, and anyone else who wants to understand and prepare for the dollar crisis that could impact capital markets everywhere. Richard Duncan (Hong Kong) has worked as a financial analyst for more than 16 years. During his career, he has worked for many leading companies such as Salomon Brothers, HSBC Securities, International Monetary Fund, and The World Bank. --このテキストは、 ペーパーバック 版に関連付けられています。

The Dollar Crises, Causes, Consequences, Cures Revised and Updated Editionは2年前に本書は以前刊行されたThe Dollar Crisesのアップデート版です。
これから直面する可能性がある「米ドルの危機」を緩和し、10年先の経済成長が、バランスの取れた、継続性のあるものとなるように、著者は本書内で積極的な提案を行なっています。本書は投資家、バンカー、ブローカー、経済学者、また「米ドル危機」に備え状況を理解したい人々に強くお勧めします。 --このテキストは、 ペーパーバック 版に関連付けられています。

グローバル経済が直面する最悪のシナリオを徹底分析!米国の「ドル・バブル」崩壊、中国経済の失速。1ドル=60円の超円高が日本を直撃―。世銀・IMFで活躍したアナリストが放つ論争の書。

ドルは必ず暴落し、世界経済は大不況に陥る。その最大の被害者は日本と中国だ-。97年アジア危機を予測したアナリストが緊急警告。「1ドル=60円」で日本経済はどうなる?

The first book to confront the imminent dollar crisis
Given the current global economic situation, a dollar crisis seems imminent. It is predicted that the series of financial and currency crises in recent years will soon culminate in the collapse of the U.S. dollar, facilitating a worldwide economic slump. This timely and challenging book brings together the origins of this crisis and the solutions that will help counter global imbalance. Filled with in-depth insights and practical advice, The Dollar Crisis is a highly relevant guide for all markets, since the collapse of the U.S. dollar will result in global destabilization impacting capital markets everywhere.
Richard Duncan (Hong Kong) has worked as a financial analyst in Asia for more than fifteen years. During his career, he has worked for leading companies such as Salomon Brothers, HSBC Securities, International Monetary Fund, and The World Bank.
--このテキストは、絶版本またはこのタイトルには設定されていない版型に関連付けられています。

"...a provocative new book..." (Grant's, 15 August 2003)

"...we strongly recommend...the man seems to have hit the nail right on the noggin..." (The Daily Reckoning)

"...is impeccably researched...provides a useful resume of how the dollar came to be the dominant force in world currency markets..." (www.iii.co.uk (AMPLE), 6 January 2004) --このテキストは、絶版本またはこのタイトルには設定されていない版型に関連付けられています。

In this updated, second edition of the highly acclaimed international best seller, The Dollar Crisis: Causes, Consequences, Cures, Richard Duncan describes the flaws in the international monetary system that have destabilized the global economy and that may soon culminate in a deflation-induced worldwide economic slump.
The Dollar Crisis is divided into five parts:
Part One describes how the US trade deficits, which now exceed US$1 million a minute, have destabilized the global economy by creating a worldwide credit bubble.
Part Two explains why these giant deficits cannot persist and why a US recession and a collapse in the value of the Dollar are unavoidable.
Part Three analyzes the extraordinarily harmful impact that the US recession and the collapse of the Dollar will have on the rest of the world.
Part Four offers original recommendations that, if implemented, would help mitigate the damage of the coming worldwide downturn and put in place the foundations for balanced and sustainable economic growth in the decades ahead.
Part Five, which has been newly added to the second edition, describes the extraordinary evolution of this crisis since the first edition was completed in September 2002. It also considers how the Dollar Crisis is likely to unfold over the years immediately ahead, the likely policy response to the crisis, and why that response cannot succeed.
The Dollar Standard is inherently flawed and increasingly unstable. Its collapse will be the most important economic event of the 21st Century. --このテキストは、 ペーパーバック 版に関連付けられています。

Posterity may remember The Dollar Crisis as a seminal book in the field of 21^st century economics. Indeed, rarely has a book offered such a grim yet, well argued view of the current economic situation facing the world. -- Steven Irvine, FinanceAsia

Duncan writes like a man who’s already seen tomorrow.--James Grant, Grant’s Interest Rate Observer

I held a class for about 150 people on the book entitled "The Dollar Crisis," authored by Richard Duncan. If you want to better understand why the real estate bubble bust and the crash of the dollar will probably lead to a prolonged recession, you may want to read this book sooner rather than later. In a nutshell, we really do not have a real estate bubble... the world is in a currency bubble. In other words, the governments of the world have printed too much "funny" money and cash will soon turn to trash.  Even if you are not in real estate or are saving dollars, you may want to read this book to find out what you need to invest in now, before the bubble bursts. If you are in stocks and mutual funds, you definitely want to read this book.
Robert Kiyosaki, author of Rich Dad, Poor Dad

I would like every one of my subscribers to click on to Amazon.com and buy a new book that has just been published entitled, “The Dollar Crisis, Causes, Consequences, Cures.” The book costs around twenty bucks and is worth ten times that amount.  The author, Richard Duncan has a great background and is as smart as they come. He explains why he sees a crashing dollar and a severe recession coming up in the plus a world recession. This is no wild-eyed guru, this is a guy who knows what he’s talking about and a guy who understands money and the world monetary system – he’s worked for both the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund. Please buy this book!-- Richard Russell, Dow Theory Letters

Richard Duncan crisply explains why payback time for years of credit excesses, payments imbalances and securitized sub-par lending is imminent.  Mr Greenspan, your time is up. -- International Herald Tribune

Richard Duncan’s excellent book… we cannot recommend it enough.--Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning

Richard Duncan… is one of the brightest financial analysts I know. Richard is the author of one of my favorite books called The Dollar Crisis:  Causes, Consequences, Cures.--John Mauldin, Thoughts from the Frontline

For a preview of how it might play out, consult Richard Duncan’s recently revised book, The Dollar Crisis:  Causes, Consequences, Cures.” Just try to sleep after digesting its thesis that the world’s biggest economy is looking like a huge and growing Ponzi scheme.7--William Pesek Jr., International Herald Tribune --このテキストは、 ペーパーバック 版に関連付けられています。

Richard Duncan has worked as a financial analyst in Asia for more than 16 years, conducting research and publishing investment reports on companies, industries, and economics from India to Korea.
In 1993, Mr. Duncan one of the first to warn of the impending collapse of the Thai economy and the Thai stock market in a series of published reports and speeches directed at institutional investors. At the height of the Asian crisis, he worked as a consultant for the International Monetary Fund in Thailand. Subsequently, he joined the World Bank in Washington DC as a Financial Sector Specialist focusing on issues related to the economic crisis in Asia.
Mr. Duncan studied economics and literature at Vanderbuilt University and business and finance at Babson College. His interest in history developed during a year spent travelling around the world after graduation. He and his wife, Jareeyu, currently reside in Hong Kong. --このテキストは、絶版本またはこのタイトルには設定されていない版型に関連付けられています。

ダンカン,リチャード
日本を含むアジア経済を幅広くカバーする金融アナリスト。バンダービルト大学で文学と経済学を、バブソン大学でビジネス・ファイナンスを学ぶ。アジアに活動の拠点を移してから20年近くになり、その間、HSBC証券やソロモン・ブラザーズなどで勤務。また1997年のアジア通貨危機に際しては、IMF(国際通貨基金)のコンサルタントとしてタイに乗り込み、事態の収拾に尽力。さらに世界銀行のアジア金融セクターの専門家としてワシントンDCでも働く。現在はABNアムロ・アセット・マネジメント社の金融部門上級投資アナリストの職にある。香港在住

徳川 家広
1965年東京生まれ。慶応義塾大学経済学部卒業後、米ミシガン大学で経済学修士号取得。国際連合食料農業機関(FAO)のローマ本部、ベトナム(ハノイ)支部で勤務。その後、米コロンビア大学で政治学修士号を取得。2001年に帰国し、フリーの翻訳業に(本データはこの書籍が刊行された当時に掲載されていたものです)